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JICPT
Jan 31, 2021 3:44 PM

Bearish view on SGDCNH(potential low 4.63) Short

SINGAPORE DOLLAR / OFFSHORE CHINESE YUANICE

Description

The reason I like to review the pair is that I've in SG for 8 years. It's my second home. Most importantly I have SGD deposited in the local bank. Personally, I prefer to strong SGD.

The reality is harsh. I don't know what happened on Jan. 8th. But the long lower wick really opened the downside space. The potential low is 4.63(measured move).

Singapore got hit badly by the covid-19. The little red dot relied heavily on openness. Today, a new cluster was identified, so it's far from over.

Good news is that vaccination has started.

Comment

Yep. After publishing the idea, it's been down almost 300 bps.
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