Dear friends, we are going to take a look at Shopify , they will be showcasing their earnings tomorrow when the market closes - below find our analysis and overview of the company!
Eleven consecutive quarters of 25%+ revenue growth — at $11.6B in annual revenue, read that correct 11 CONSECUTIVE QUARTERS OF 25%+ REVENUE GROWTH!
That's the rare combination of scale and velocity that makes SHOP a structural long, not a trade. Q4 2025 was the first quarter in company history with GMV above $100B, merchant solutions grew 35%, and EPS beat by nearly 12%. Tonight's quarter is seasonal (Q1 is always the softest after holiday), but management already guided "low-thirties" revenue growth — well above the 25% analysts had pencilled in.
The free cash flow margin will dip temporarily into the low-to-mid teens; that's the only number bears will latch onto, and it's priced in. The real story is agentic commerce. Shopify co-developed the Universal Commerce Protocol with Google, launched Agentic Storefronts connecting merchants directly to ChatGPT, Google AI Mode, and Microsoft Copilot, and reported AI-driven orders growing 15x year-over-year in 2025. Gartner projects 20% of all global transactions will flow through AI agents by 2030 — and Shopify is the infrastructure underneath that shift. A $2B buyback at a $166B market cap signals the board's own confidence. Watch GMV — any print above $98B confirms the agentic commerce ramp is live, not theoretical.
Revenue EST. - 3.08B - 31% YoY
EPS EST. - 0.32 - 28% YoY
FY 2025 revenue - 11.6B - 30% YoY - Record!
Full year GMV - 378B - 29 YoY
Consistency = Tremendeous potential ahead!
Entry - 127.27$
Target - 145$
As always my friends - Happpy Trading!
Eleven consecutive quarters of 25%+ revenue growth — at $11.6B in annual revenue, read that correct 11 CONSECUTIVE QUARTERS OF 25%+ REVENUE GROWTH!
That's the rare combination of scale and velocity that makes SHOP a structural long, not a trade. Q4 2025 was the first quarter in company history with GMV above $100B, merchant solutions grew 35%, and EPS beat by nearly 12%. Tonight's quarter is seasonal (Q1 is always the softest after holiday), but management already guided "low-thirties" revenue growth — well above the 25% analysts had pencilled in.
The free cash flow margin will dip temporarily into the low-to-mid teens; that's the only number bears will latch onto, and it's priced in. The real story is agentic commerce. Shopify co-developed the Universal Commerce Protocol with Google, launched Agentic Storefronts connecting merchants directly to ChatGPT, Google AI Mode, and Microsoft Copilot, and reported AI-driven orders growing 15x year-over-year in 2025. Gartner projects 20% of all global transactions will flow through AI agents by 2030 — and Shopify is the infrastructure underneath that shift. A $2B buyback at a $166B market cap signals the board's own confidence. Watch GMV — any print above $98B confirms the agentic commerce ramp is live, not theoretical.
Revenue EST. - 3.08B - 31% YoY
EPS EST. - 0.32 - 28% YoY
FY 2025 revenue - 11.6B - 30% YoY - Record!
Full year GMV - 378B - 29 YoY
Consistency = Tremendeous potential ahead!
Entry - 127.27$
Target - 145$
As always my friends - Happpy Trading!
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Join my Telegram community for Forex trading insights, real-time news, educational content and friendly support. Let's grow and succeed together! -
t.me/Capital55DG
t.me/Capital55DG
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.