Silver Futures
Long

SILVER: Scenario Adjusted!

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What’s new?
After silver futures kicked off the week with a strong rally on Monday and traded above resistance at $83.25, we shifted our analysis to our alternative scenario.

Primary Scenario
ADJUSTMENTS: Our main expectation is that the (corrective) upward move will soon continue toward resistance at $121.79. Still below this level, we anticipate the rally will peak before the price likely drops below support at $61.21.

Alternative Scenario
ADJUSTMENTS: In our alternative scenario, the price could continue to climb and break above resistance at $121.79. If this happens, silver would set a new high before also experiencing a sharp decline (probability: 30%).

Long-Term Outlook
ADJUSTMENTS: On the weekly chart, the projected downward move is primarily expected to extend into our blue Long-Term Entry Range ($46.52–$26.06). The alternative scenario described above also applies here.

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