Glewis54

SLV Wave 4 Setting Up for move to 20

Long
AMEX:SLV   iShares Silver Trust
Still holding an uptrending channel. Holding this level would be super positive, setting up for a wave 5 move to the top of the channel. By rule, Wave 4 cannot breach Wave 1 so while lower prices are still possible, impulse waves generally conform to the channel. As my long term outlook is for eventually testing the highs, I was buying Jan 2020 and Jan 2021 LEAP calls.

Earlier write- discussed the double bottom pattern. To prove the double bottom formation, price would need to break through the last major high just under 20. My expectation was that it would pick up steam and run to fill on gap on SLV above 25.50. Not certain if gaps in SLV get filled like gaps in stocks since XAGUSD trades pretty much continuous. I was watching today to see how SLV would react to filling the gap. I was buying as that gap filled. It then rallied from their but backed down at the close of the day. So I'm thinking that gaps are valid and there may be a run to 25+

As 20 gets touched/breached, would expect some selling but also, as another poster wrote, buying above 20, a breakout level, was the strategy.

As the five wave pattern completes, I'm expecting the ensuing correction to last around 3 months, possibly into next year, so I'm planning to liquidate the 2020 calls, holding on to the 2021s. Expect lots of great trading opportunities during that correction phase to build a large position in anticipation for a run to test the highs.

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