SOLUSD Long-Term Market Cycle Analysis |Bear Market Phase Active

Solana (SOL) was listed on 10 April 2020 at around $0.21.
During the 2020–2021 bull market (Altseason Phase-4), SOL showed an exceptionally strong rally after listing and formed its all-time high near $260 on 6 November 2021.

From that point, a major bear market started.
Between 7 April 2021 and 29 December 2022, Solana remained in a clear downtrend, printing continuous lower highs and lower lows.
Price dropped from $260 to nearly $8, resulting in a −96.9% correction, which is typical for high-beta altcoins during bear cycles.

A new bull market phase began on 30 December 2022, but according to current market structure and cycle analysis, this bull phase has now ended around 13 September 2025.
The overall structure has shifted bearish, and Solana is currently trading in a confirmed bear market phase starting from 14 September 2025.

Key Resistance Zones (Strong Reversal Areas):

$148

$174

$210

These levels are expected to act as major supply zones, where strong selling pressure and reversals are likely.

Bear Market Outlook & Risk Projection

Bear market may extend until October 2026

A further downside move of up to −88% is possible within this cycle

If such a correction occurs, there is an 80% probability that SOL could trade in the $45 – $30 range during September–October 2026

Key Support Zones (Accumulation Areas):

$80

$45

$30


Trading Bias

* Avoid long positions during this phase
* Focus on short setups near resistance zones
* Trade with strict risk management and confirmation

Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on historical market cycles, structure, and technical behavior.
Not financial advice. Always manage risk.