SOL/USDT: At POC — Decision Point in Bearish Regime

Jan 7

Regime: Bearish
HTF Bias: Bearish
Position: Flat

STRUCTURE
Price sitting exactly at POC (137.67). Fair value — the level where most volume traded.
But fair value doesn't mean bullish. Price is 4% below AVWAP. Institutions are underwater. Rallies get sold.
Signal fired — only a 2. Low confluence.

KEY LEVELS
+1σ → 163.35
AVWAP → 143.53 (resistance)
POC → 137.67 (current — decision point)
-1σ → 123.72 (first target zone)
-2σ → 103.90

CVD READ
Collapsed in December. Now grinding higher near zero.
Buying pressure building, but price not confirming. Mixed signals = low confluence.
Regime says short. CVD says "not yet."

SCENARIOS
AVWAP rejection: Rally to 143-145, gets sold. Better short entry with higher confluence.
POC breakdown: Price fails here, breaks 135. Acceleration toward -1σ.
AVWAP reclaim: Regime shifts. Bearish thesis paused.

BOTTOM LINE
Bearish regime. Price at POC.
POC is a decision point, not a signal. The edges pay. The middle chops.
Wait for AVWAP rejection or POC breakdown. Don't force it here.

Exact entries and position sizing in bio.

Jan 7

Trade active

Solana got rejected at Avwap