Cincinnatuus

Long Term Prospects for SOYBNUSD

Short
OANDA:SOYBNUSD   CFDs on Soybeans
The SOYBNUSD, symbol ZS, is in a Bear Market Rally within a long-term Bear Market with price trading above the 50 week ema, but below the 200 and 800 week emas. The long term emas are mostly flat, signaling accumulation / distribution. The price action appears to be finishing up the c-wave of an x-wave before a final y-wave down. The long upwards candle wicks, the testing of the 200 ema, and consecutive dojis are all confirmation that a top is being putting in. This would correspond with a long-term commodities bottom expected in 2021.

The Market is in a Bear Market Rally on the daily, with price above the 50 ema, which is above the 200, but still below the 800 ema. The 50 ema is up-trending, but the other long term emas are mostly flat, signaling an accumulation / distribution range. Price is topping out having just completed an evening star pattern, but has yet to close below the 13 ema. Price has yet to break the uptrend line, so expect sideways price action, and another stop test of the high, with a trend break, confirming a sell off.

The Market is in a Bull Market on the 4 hour, with price trading above the 50 ema, which is above the 200 ema, which is above the 800 ema. After a Dark Cloud top, price traded down below the 50 ema on the four hour, formed a doji, and will likely reverse back up from here. Probably trade up in the coming week to finish out an M-Top formation, before resuming the greater down-trend.

This is my SOYBNUSD look ahead for my own trading purposes. FUTURES trading involves risk. Feel free to comment, but trade off of this post at your own peril.
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