CME:SP1!   S&P 500 Futures
Kondratiev wave
The economic cycle has four phases: improvement, prosperity, recession and depression.
Now we are in a phase of recession or inflation Economic bubble.
Within the next 5 years there will be big changes in the world.
Shange of the financial system, the educational system, technology.
In 2000 We didnt moved from the 20th to the 21st century. We use 20st century technology.
But very soon things will change.
We are witnessing a financial apocalypse.
Peace to all
Trade active
My opinion is that we have started recession now in Feb2018. I see analogy for today like it was in around Sep-Oct2007. RSI on monthly is starting to show the same divergence. Volume is low - price is still going up. Shortly it will reverse. Thank you for the educational post.
+1 Reply
@EXCAVO I just found this while searching for something else. Maybe the scaling is "just" wrong because there was a reversal in january. Looking at the 1M chart you can see declining volumes for some time and MACD preparing a bearish crossover. If that trend remains active we would be in the recession. Thanks for that education lesson!

what's missing from this economic cycle chart is the hyper inflation phase. you can see it poking through the top of the chart already. markets will go to infinity as the USD$ becomes essentially worthless. DOW will be 100,000 soon.
CALD_ED gjmullen
@gjmullen, Right. There should be a late-to-peak cycle run up in commodities. We haven't seen all aspects of that yet. Gundlach declaimed that we weren't late-to-peak because of this fact six months ago, but now seems to have changed his mind (?).
...still going up...maybe we're in the prosperity phase? :)
I'd love to see your current thoughts on this. Thanks!
Will you update this?
There has never been crash harder to time. 2016 recession, market going up
@GaryWang, what about the movements down in this segment? just euphoria
WOOOO is amazing thx dude !
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