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without_worries
Oct 20, 2020 7:56 PM

S&P 500 - Double top bearish divergence? Short

S&P 500SP

Description

On the 3-day chart above a new candle will be printed on October 22nd (Thursday). We can see price action is currently rejecting the previous high with lower lows on all the oscillators (RSI, Stochastic RSI, & MFI), this is regular bearish divergence.

Two levels to watch (labelled above):

1) 3400 - a break here would make a very strong case for the double top bearish divergence.

2) 3296 - A candle closing below here would result in a break of market structure. Safe to go short from here.

Trade active

Bulls defending the 3400 level. Bears hitting back as good as they get. Who will win?

Trade active

2nd target reached - now watch for a candle closing under 3296. If it happens, it's all one direction for the remainder of the year.

Comment

Weekly stochastic RSI prints a lower high. Next 10-days will not be pretty.

Comment

On the 3-day chart below RSI appears to have broken out of resistance and is seemingly back testing it as support. This does not mean 'go long' if confirmed, but a warning that we may see a rally to 4000. This is not the start of a new bull market, but more likely a blow off top is in the making.

Trade active

This is starting to look very scary. Just as before a bearish divergence reveals itself (circled in black).

There's a potential 50% drop to support.

Trade closed manually

New 10-day candle confirms support on previous resistance. A major upward move is now likely.

Comment

A lot of fear in the market right now. Expectations are for a sell off. I've a feeling the exact opposite might happen.

Comment

Price action lands on the 2-day / 50-day EMA. Is the party over now? Or will it be more of the same..

Comments
sriz16
It’s a blind bearish , this thing needs to cool off in the winters , peace . Nice chart as usual ..!! Tc
Brain_haddin
Good job++
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