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palicska
Sep 21, 2018 3:04 PM

SPX in the mirror of trade war 

S&P 500SP

Description

Now that we could have gained some experience about how the looming trade war fears can ”frighten and scare away” investors, we can relabel the final phase of the S&P 500. If we measure the 1.618 length of wave 1 from the bottom of wave 2 we get almost exactly the top of wave 3. And if we assume that the length of wave 1 will approximately equal wave 5 and also assume that the total length of this final phase will be divided by the bottom of the 4th wave at the ratio of 0.618-0.382, we get that the top will have to be somewhere between 3013 and 3030. But who knows? Maybe it is just an expanded flat correction.

Comment

Another possible formation for the S&P 500, if it is really making a flat correction as wave 4.
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