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S&P500 downtrend confirmation

SP:SPX   The S&P 500 Index
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S&P500             index is showing really disturbing signals. The fact that we got fresh new lower highs suggests negative trend formation. Another worrying fact is the divergence between the index and the histogram of the moving average convergence divergence ( MACD ) indicator. This suggests trend reversal.

Using 2011 bottoms as reference and the parallel channel of the recent highs and liws the support range between 1200 and 1240 is the target area, some 6 to 10% drop. However if there is strong monetary or political sign for support the markets could find ground and rally briefly. For trend reversal we would need more persistent             policy signs.
i HERE A LOT OF INVESTOR AND TRADERS SAY THIS IS A MINOR SELL-OFF AND I WANT TO TELL ALL OF YOU THERE WRONG. THE MAJOR SELL OFF HAS ALREADY BEGUN. THE S&P 500 HAS ALREADY FORMED A PERFECT MONTHLY WOLFE WAVE PATTERN WHICH IS IN STAGE 5 EXTREME, WHILE MOMENTUM HAS ALREADY TURN DOWNWARD. THE MARKET WILL NOT ADVANCE SIGNIFICANTLY ANY FURTHER. THE DECLINE WILL DROP TO THE 700 TO 600 AREA. SO ANY ONE HOLDING STOCKS OR INDEXES FOR THE LONG HAUL ARE GOING TO LOOSE GREATLY. CHECK OUT THE WOLFE WAVE PATTERN.
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