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S&P 500 May Have a Classic Bullish Pattern

SP:SPX   S&P 500 Index
The S&P 500 slid on Monday, but the dip could fit into a bigger continuation pattern. If correct, it may interest the bulls.

Notice the series of higher lows since tame CPI numbers launched the index higher on November 10. Also consider how SPX made highs in the same area on November 15 and 22. The result could be an ascending triangle with upside breakout potential.

The top of the triangle is within a few points of a bearish gap on September 13, which followed a higher-than-expected inflation report. Nearby is the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which marked a peak in mid-August. Both are logical as resistance. That may increase their relevance and the potential for a move if broken.

Speaking of big moves, SPX has actually done the opposite lately. Notice how Average True Range and 10-day Historical Volatility have slipped to their lowest levels in several months. That may also increase the potential for a movement if resistance gives way.

These technical patterns may increase the important of the event calendar with major catalysts like a Jerome Powell speech tomorrow afternoon and non-farm payrolls Friday morning.

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