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markrivest
Mar 18, 2018 2:54 PM

SPX Buying Opportunity on 3/19/18 or 3/21/18 

S&P 500SP

Description

In my 3/17/18 post I speculated that the DJI could be forming a Elliott wave - Horizontal Triangle.
The SPX from the 2/9/18 mini crash bottom appears to have a different pattern, and forming a series of "ones" and "twos" to the upside.
Currently in the second wave "two" down.

Very strong Fibonacci evidence indicates the SPX could find powerful support in the 2699 to 2706 area.

A.382 retrace of the entire move from 2532.69 to 2801.90 is 2699.03 very close to chart support at 2701.74
and round number support at 2700.00

A .618 retrace of the move from 2642.32 to 2801.90 is 2706.37

From 3/14/18 to 3/16/18 the SPX appears to have completed a Horizontal Triangle.
the supposed Sub Minuette wave "a" is 57.52 points.
The end point of the Horizontal Triangle is 2757.80 - 57.52 = 2700.28 target

My last post mentioned a Fibonacci turn cycle due on 3/19/18. If the SPX goes down on 3/19/18 its possible
there could be a bottom that's above the powerful support zone. Perhaps in the 2720 to 2730 area.

If the SPX can decline down to the 2699 to 2706 area it will likely take more than one trading day.
The FOMC announcement is on 3/21. This is the more likely date for the SPX to reach the powerful support zone at 2699 to 2706.

Mark
Comments
HesapMakinesi
... powerful support in the 2699 to 2706 area. Yes ! Very powerful, like a house of cards.
RHTrading
Well done my friend! I had a similar chart a few days back. Takes a long time to tweak everything and get it all just perfect. It's nice to see the analysis play out as planned as it usually doesn't. I'm very impressed and I usually don't comment on other posts.



Here was my count:
markrivest
@RHTrading,

Thank for the comment.
Your count is a valid bearish alternate count.

Mark
The_Unwind
As Mr. Rivest is aware, my work had said, and is now being quantified that the 3/9/18 breakout in the S+P above 2751 Open

on the bullish jobs report would hit resistance at 2800 and then be REVERSED COMPLETELY

all the way back down to the breakout point 2751, ... confirming a highly negative FALSE BREAKOUT, or BULL TRAP of 50 S+P Points !


All of this price action would happen by 3/19, at the apex of the Triangle on the 4 Hour Chart back down to S+P 2735 Support.

With the sharp decline in the S+P Futures overnight on 3/19, we have arrived at my destination point, 2 days prior to the Fed meeting.


A 50 point move down from the 2751 Open on 3/9, would target 2701, the exact price Mr Rivest has identified in this very well done post.


THE_UNWIND
markrivest
@The_Unwind,

Thanks.

Mark
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