hdon94
Short

My Long Term Overall Market Outlook

TVC:SPX   The Standard&Poor's Index
100 2 2
What can I say, normally I am a market bull but over the next few years I see the markets moving lower.
Short term I could see a relief rally after the elections lasting a few weeks but then lower into 2017.
A combination of global macro events (black swans) and central bank policies around the world causing unintended negative forces on the markets (global recession), all this in my view will push the markets lower.
I really hope I am wrong and can look at this post a year from now with the markets much higher.
I would rather see a healthy short-term market correction followed by a push higher but I just have this gut feeling we may be going into a longer term down trend.
Or maybe this gut feeling has nothing to do with the markets and is telling me I should just lay off the spicy food!
Nothing wrong with spicy food or your prediction. There are many things wrong with the financial landscape as we know it and very little right with it, so the balance of probabilities points to rocky roads ahead leading only to a cliff. The big re-set needs to occur so we can come out rosier on the other side but it appears there is no end to the stupidity of the CB's and their perpetual printing presses, so timing the fall-out is very tricky. The only difference in the view i hold over yours, is that the correction (when it comes) will be bigger and steeper than you have predicted in your chart. As investors all we can do is trade with caution until a trend is established (up or down).
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hdon94 PRO BhaktaBasics
Very well put! Right now I am mainly in cash (no long term positions, only short-term trading).
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