Simon_says
Short

Historical analysis of stock market crisis - 1929

SPCFD:SPX   S&P 500 Index
Please open this link: https://symonsez.files.wordpress.com/200...

Stock market will initially crash around -46% then move up to ~2700$ and finally down to >450$ per share.

We are entering a Great Depression just now!

In the same time Gold ( XAUUSD ) will keep moving up to double the price of Dow Jones: https://www.macrotrends.net/1378/dow-to-... it measn DJI will be ~4500/5000$ while Gold will go up to 8500-10,000$oz
Comment: Market Massacre: Oil Crashes 30%, Dow Down 1,000, VIX Explodes As Spoos Crater

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/market...
Comment: Nasdaq Futures Limit-Down, Crude Crashes After Trump Announces EU Travel Ban

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks...
Comment: Stocks Suffer Worst Week Since Lehman Despite Biggest Fed Bailout Ever

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks...
Comment: Very nice video, please watch: Will the Coronavirus TRIGGER a Global Recession?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uc38v9yh...

These Updating Charts Show How Many People Are Losing Their Jobs Amid The Coronavirus Pandemic
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/lam...
Comment: I believe we completed first downward move, let's observe market going up for the next week/s.

Subsequently, there will be slow downward move, it will be very painful as official recession will begin in a few weeks/months time.

Many businesses will go bankrupt and unemployment will skyrocket.
Comment: Move up will happen up to around 2500$ or 2700$ then continue going down.
Please observe the plot and exponential moving averages for SPX and DJI.
Comment: Just to let you all know, it's an organized and supervised economic crisis. How is it possible that the spread of a coronavirus in China or Europecause the biggest drop in US stock market but over 80k infections in the US makes stock market to move up?
Obviously it will be temporary and the market will keep going down for another 3-4 years as predicted on the plot.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=igC9X1k8...
Trade active: The 4 Phases Of A Full-Market Cycle
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/4-phas...
Trade active: My analysis was correct so far, I believe we are entering a downward move soon.

Unfortunately, SPX will keep going down for the next 3 years, many people will lose their jobs and we may have to wait another ±25 years for the market to move back to 2019/2020 highs :-/
Comment: What Is A Wealth Cycle? The Difference Between Price & Value Explained

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l-knwwD-...
Trade active: Everything is Awesome! SPX goes according to plan!

Mayday On May-Day - Stocks Slammed After Awesome April On China Threat, Dismal Data
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/mayday...
Trade active: Investing Legend Sees A Second Great Depression For Stocks By 2023

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/invest...
Trade active: Bank of England Warns Of Worst Economic Slump In 300 Years

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/boe-...

Comments

nice to see some long-term analysis rather than the usual daytrading drivel, well done
+1 Reply
Can you see a scenario where stocks make new all time highs Before the big crash?
+1 Reply
Simon_says satiev1
@satiev1, Yes I do see such scenario but the probability of stocks making new highs is very, very low!! Harm was already done while all the economical stats are not being released yet, which means that will drag the stock market down rather up. First deflation then inflation of hyperinflation as central banks will print tons of money!
Reply
Simon, what about bitcoin?
+1 Reply
Simon_says satiev1
@satiev1, This is the most accurate indicator for Bitcoin: https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/mvrv-zscore/

Buy when Z-score is in bluish-zone ±0 score and sell in red-zone ±9 score. For the moment we are in the accumulation zone, so be patient and get ready.
Reply
Any updates here? Thank you for your great work!
+1 Reply
Simon_says seradwan56
@seradwan56, Still valid, we are entering a secondary downward move just now !!!
Reply
You see the $450 as a bottom? The year you see it going down is 2024?
+1 Reply
Simon_says satiev1
@satiev1, Yes, 450$ per share, sounds crazy but it may happen. I' not sure about the exact time, but it will take another ±25 years for the market to get above 2019/2020 top !!!!
Reply
Get the funk outta here. You wish
+1 Reply
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