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DaddySawbucks
May 14, 2021 2:53 PM

SPX: ABC Correction in B wave; Sucker's Rally! Short

S&P 500 IndexTVC

Description

Fibo at 4168 expected turn, might pump higher, but it will sell again. Same pattern unfolding as last June swoon. RSI declines.

Might break under 4k, or give a double bottom as it did last year around this time. IMO very unlikely to get back over 4200 until move is over.

Trade with care, it's full of traps for bears and bulls now, just damned risky in any position IMO. This is not advice, just an idea; GLTA!

Trade active

Shorted

Comment

There is a gap waiting to fill at 4188 above

Comment

At Fibo 4168; might be 20 pips left in it

Comment

Price forming a descending wedge which is bullish, wouldn't get short here yet IMO

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Also notice how the Euros sold in AM and rallied in PM... if same pattern, too soon to short, let the rally top out IMO

Comment

Yep here it is, DJI bounced strongest. Watch n wait!

Trade active

Entering shorts on SPY, QQQ. Watch sector rotation, short sectors when they rotate the rally. Small caps soon IMO

Comment

Pure joy... covered the shorts on first wave, re-entered on the lift and rode down to the bell; holding ten bear spreads, here weee gooo!

Trade closed manually

BIG gap down, price appears to hold at the low from 12 May; could be a double bottom with higher to come soon. Made bank, taking Risk-off!

Trade closed: target reached

Closed this on the double bottom. Seems like all the action is after hours; gotta be in position EOD, lol. Just watching now, see latest post; expect higher, maybe ATH.
Comments
strawserpbiggskc61
Very good👌🏻Friend
StonkWizard18
Are you entering your shorts with expiration out into June?
DaddySawbucks
@StonkWizard18, i usually trade 10-14 day weeklies. didn't have a big position for this dump, such a big gap is always a surprise.
poister198
Looking at futures movement, hard not to believe it will not close at least 4200 for the week. Correction is done and dusted, IMO still maintain that it is the last chance to get anything below 4200.
DaddySawbucks
@poister198, correction is not completed IMO. look at June 2020, next leg came after a week of hanging like this
aliengr116
Will we continue rising upwards on Monday? I still feel we had fake dally but you never know with this market. I was short and lost money last two days…
CivilMinded
It's possible we head down from here, but I doubt it.

We crossed the 4168 fib around 10 AM and stayed over it the rest of the day.

In fact, during the two last sell-offs, we found support at 4173 and bounced up both times.
hungry_hippo
The tank is over, NQ is oversold on the daily, they're gonna pump tech to a new ATH and SPX will go for a ride.
aox8zs
StonkWizard18
@DaddySawbucks I like it. I was looking at last June and last September and this looks similar. My guess is late Monday or Tuesday we sell off again.
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