DaddySawbucks

Broken TL Headed Down from Lower Top

Short
TVC:SPX   S&P 500 Index
No New Bull market, no new ATH yet. Just another Bull **** Trap. Headed for oversold IMO, see RSI.

Likely find support at 50MA on the 4K, where former resistance turned support before. See the arrows.

I begged friends and family to shuck this dog but "No, it's going to ATH they said, you're wrong Sawbucks.
What, and miss out on the next bull run?!"

See you at the double bottom; GLTA.
Comment:
TL retest completed; hanging man candle 2/14 on CPI > headed lower.
Trade active:
No definite PA moves. Downtrending channel...
looks, feels like consolidation triangle formation, feels like a 4th wave chop-drop-pop-chop
directionless; a bull flag?
NO positions. See which way it breaks.
Comment:
Some clear topping signals coming out now. We got a triple top formed with sequence of lower highs... 418-416-414; inverted H&S on VIX, crushed near to 18.24, a historic critical value in bear markets.

NB: In real bear markets, VIX will not get under 18. Crush to this range precedes a spike into next bearish DT.

Watch this, Peter is usually spot on, well worth a look:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=_MRa5BWP...
Trade active:
Shorted all major indices on the retracement rally and caught the eod selloff. Get ready for a gap down and lower Friday. Do not try to time a bounce; any lifts are only short entries. NOT getting any higher IMO.
Get ready for da Big Dump. GLTA
Trade active:
Closed shorts on this dump 2/21. Might dump more or rally again from 4k price zone. Going oversold, can sell more, be carefull!

Opened a few light longs.
Comment:
Filled in this chart but took a while to get here. Made a triple top. Now it's really headed lower but backing up the putwagon here might be a mistake.

Expect a .382 retrace as we saw in August when it came off the 4300 lower top. Then the hammer.
Trade closed: target reached:
Closed out bear shares and poots Friday. Might get follow-thru selling MOnday, might gap up instead.

Got a clear 5-EW pattern down from 4150 > 3950. Enjoy your 200 pips if you followed this idea!

What next? Doubtful to get a V-recovery with uncertain econonews. LIkely to get consolidative chop for weeks, up>down>up>down>up.

Breakout to upside likely imo, unless Fed tanks it 22 March.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.