There are too much facts going on for anything else to happen than this. where should I even start.
Highest debt ever above 140% for US. No increased debt ceiling. Yield curve topped out. Bonds needs to get bought. Inflation coming down harder and unemployment increasing rapidly. Core CPI is larger than CPI. harder for households. More house on the market than ever. Households are not getting sold. VIX expiration today 17e. Biggest expiration in QQQ, SPY, IWM, VIX expiration 19e this week. FED PIVOT is already here. When that happend in history, Recession has always followed. More outflow in stocks than inflows. Options is the only one saving the market till everything expire and the short bag is to great.
looking on stocks of banks in EU - all is ok, good revenues, USA - the same, big banks will buy back smaller one. Even if there will be a crash, big USA banks will win. Looking on the automotive - Renault, VW - there is still lot of way to go down. The risk right now is very high.
I see that you want to predict collapse but remember that there are all the time bigger players with big tech to predict the market move.
gal_vaknin1
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Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.. if we look at logic.. sure markets should dip.. but everyone expects it- MM won’t pay them puts
I see that you want to predict collapse but remember that there are all the time bigger players with big tech to predict the market move.