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Fomenka
Aug 13, 2019 6:07 AM

Bear Alert! SPX500/SPX are still correcting. Short

S&P 500 IndexTVC

Description

Despite I have been expecting strong sell-off in SPX/SPX500 I have to change the view to a bullish stance. SPX can be interpreted both ways but SPX500 is subdividing from its top on 8th of Aug in a clear 3-3-3 wave pattern. This makes me suspect we are in a bear trap right now. If the price declines and reverses I will be opening long positions to catch the final motive wave of this correction that can last a week or so and should be a strong impulse wave move.

This will coincide with my bullish bet on USOIL and smaller oil stocks. I also see that individual stocks that I have bought puts for (FB, WFC, HPQ etc.) are poised for a short-term bounce as they completed wave 1 down. I think I will sell some of the puts to lock the profit and reenter in a weeks time.
Comments
JekkTrade
You nailed it. I was on the other side of it and got stopped out this morning.
Fomenka
@JekkTrade, Thanks. I flipped from bear to bull once I plotted this chart.
JekkTrade
@DEUS, Looks like it's now closing below your 50% retracement line. How likely is 2831. Are you shorting the bounce or putting some short exposure to the index on overnight?
Fomenka
@JekkTrade, yesterday was rough
Big-Worm
now what?
Fomenka
@AndrewLoveless,
this one is a possibility. The alternative is that we are in a broader bull market to make another all-time high. But let's stick to longs for a week and then we'll see.
WaveWalker
thanks...
Fomenka
@bwalker1159, welcome
WeiShingLee
Elliot counts are well plotted. Thanks for sharing
Fomenka
@WeiShingLee, thank you.
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