trip.trading

Elliot Wave 4 and Cycles

Short
SP:SPX   S&P 500 Index
0
I’m leaning towards one more push up to the 1950-80 area to finish wave 4. This is based on the assumption that if wave 4c = 4a = +96 it will lead to a target for 4c of 1872+96 = 1968. During September 2015, the S&P500 formed a similar wave 4 pattern and at that time, wave c (+117) was smaller than wave a (+126), i.e. c was 90% of a. If this is repeated, then the target becomes 1872+86=1958.

There’s resistance @ 1955 and 1980 so that could be the area where wave 4 will top and wave 5 down will start.

My scenario of wave 4 up becomes invalid if 1993, the low of wave 1, breaks to the upside as wave 4 can not overlap wave 1.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.