Elliot Wave 4 and Cycles

SP:SPX   S&P 500 Index
45 0 0
I’m leaning towards one more push up to the 1950-80 area to finish wave 4. This is based on the assumption that if wave 4c = 4a = +96 it will lead to a target for 4c of 1872+96 = 1968. During September 2015, the S&P500             formed a similar wave 4 pattern and at that time, wave c (+117) was smaller than wave a (+126), i.e. c was 90% of a. If this is repeated, then the target becomes 1872+86=1958.

There’s resistance @ 1955 and 1980 so that could be the area where wave 4 will top and wave 5 down will start.

My scenario of wave 4 up becomes invalid if 1993, the low of wave 1, breaks to the upside as wave 4 can not overlap wave 1.
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