SPX Short Term Buy

SPCFD:SPX   S&P 500 Index
SPX appears to be setting up to move higher in the short term. I remain intermediate term bearish , but several important supports were held this week even with consecutive down days in the market. Volume was robust, and recent market leaders showed strength, especially in to the close.We broke above falling trend line resistance at the beginning of the week and remained above it as we consolidated, and also remaining above upward sloping trend line support. We tested intraday and held above both the 20dsma and 50dsma, the latter of which is coinciding with the 61.8% retracement of the swing from all time highs to the February lows. It's worth noting that the 20dsma is currently below the 50dsma, causing concern further out. However, the 50dsma remains firmly above the 100dsma, a level that acted as rough support during the selloff. (While not depicted on this chart, the 5/13dema that I use is in a buy setup.) Over the next week or two, I expect markets to retest highs or get close, at least retesting the 78.6% retracement at 2800, as March (and Q1) come to a close, but sideways action may prevail if bulls and bears are in equilibrium. A break below the trend lines , moving averages, and 61.8% retracement would invalidate this bullish short term view. A break below would also warrant shorting, as accelerating selling will likely occur. I remain bearish looking a few months out, so shorting at the highs (or 2800, the 78.6% retracement ) will be the next setup. Remain cautious and quick to exit any short term long positions, as declines will likely be swift and volatile.
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