3. Bitcoin has peaked at USD40,000 and entered a secular bear market (see
Bitcoin, the Wolf Moon)
4. Oil price will crash landing as any business deal based on cartel agreement will fail eventually (see The tipping point of oil crisis)
5. We will see heavy capital flight from EU to US (see USD Tsunami Cycle)
8. The crash of oil price will confirm the bullish view of USDJPY as everything (included Bitcoin) that is priced in US currency will have inverted relationship. If USDJPY is bullish, the chart for S&P must be bullish or else it will invalid the bullish analysis on USDJPY and the bearish oil price and Bitcoin.
9. This is called Butterfly Effect under the school of Chaos Theory and who is this Butterfly? My answer is Iran :)