Kumowizard
Short

SP500 - When, where and how?

FX:SPX500   S&P 500 index of US listed shares
248 8 3
OK, it is not yet bearish , but a bullish mkt doesn't look like this. SP500             in recent weeks is rather like an abandoned place, where no one really has interest to do anything, except some sector rotation, etc.

So SP500             has not been doing anything. However the room is getting tighter and tighter. Sooner or later one side should start to dominate. Will it be bearish or bullish? I think I don't have to add any comments to this chart, maybe the levels to watch:

Lower side: 2085 and 2045
Upper side: 2120

Daily: Heikin Ashi setup is rather bearish now. Ichimoku setup is still bullish to neutral.

Weekly supports: 2085 / 2050 / 1975
Fib retracement levels from the low 1075 (Sept/2011) to recent high at 2122:
- 0,236 = 1873
- 0,382 = 1720
- 0,5 = 1597

Guess what, a drop (let's say within 4 months) to 1975 support, which appr the 0,236 Fib retracement level too, would be only -5 % from the Tenkan Sen! Looking at the European indexes, well, -5 % is not that too much to give back during a correction.

The best I can do here is to still hold a small strategic short. I just can not believe in this mkt to stay on the bullish side at all. Well, of course those who know me personally can tell that nothing has changed, since I have been a perma bear and counter player on SP500             for quite some time now :-)
Justiceisfalse
2 years ago
Great analysis as always.
Reply
Kumowizard PRO Justiceisfalse
2 years ago
Thank You!
Reply
2use
2 years ago
Sell in may and go away ?
Reply
Kumowizard PRO 2use
2 years ago
Maybe without "May". Just sell, and go away! :-)
Reply
2use Kumowizard
2 years ago
Yes, i did just that...and then realized its may :)
Reply
Kumowizard PRO 2use
2 years ago
The older I am, the more relaxed my trading is when I sit less ahead of my screens. :-)
I trade smaller positions compared to the times when I was really on the top, but I have no frustration for example. Let's say I have turned from a "hedgie" type to a "real money" type.
Reply
Kumowizard PRO Kumowizard
2 years ago
I mean "in front of my screen" not "ahead"... bit tired today :-)
Reply
2use Kumowizard
2 years ago
That is called experience :)
Reply
Ideas Scripts Chart
United States
United Kingdom
India
España
Italia
Brasil
Россия
Türkiye
日本
한국
Home Stock Screener Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators For the WEB Widgets Stock Charting Library Priority Support Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Private Messages Chat Ideas Published Followers Following Priority Support Public Profile Profile Settings Billing Sign Out