tapkcir
Long

SPX500 Bull - Tentative

FX:SPX500   S&P 500 index of US listed shares
98 1 2
Feedback/comments/criticisms are most welcome.

I'm thinking we trade within this consolidation channel until either major macro news forces something - or we hit 2000-2010 within the channel and the bulls and bears. If the most recent double bottoms follows the trend set by the double bottom in sep-oct, we'll rebound to approximately 2010 off of it.

Taking a longer term view (Weekly or monthly) its possible that if both double bottoms marked here are actually part of a larger double bottoms formation spanning from sep-feb (a multi-month timeframe is more consistent with the formation), then the upside on the longer term is 2345 once we finish moving through a reversal from that huge pattern

Poor macro news could throw all of this off and the indicators are far from concrete             imo             , making either going long or short here a risk. I would wait for a sustained break above 2000 on a significant increase in volume (preferably breaching the channel). That combination would to my mind confirm a bull market moving forward - wind and weather (and oil             ) permitting.

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agree. i like macro news.
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