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FullTimeTrader
Oct 19, 2015 8:25 PM

SPX500-typical diamond-long term decline expected Short

S&P 500 index of US listed sharesFXCM

Description

Im very excited because i think we have a very nice short opportunity on SPX that could last months.
I feel "confident" because this price behaviour is common after a diamond pattern.
I know this pattern very well, i have traded succesfully it before:



A diamond pattern 80% of times means trend-change. After it price usually makes deep retracements (0.7860 or 0.8860) but most important will not MAKE NEW HIGHS.

According to EW price usually forms a series of 1-2s or leading diagonal, this means a strong third wave is expected.

I will try to enter enter short near the 0.7860 and 0.8860 fib retracement.

We can use this setup also.

- corrective channel
- AB=CD pattern
- trendline resistance
- 1.27 fib extension

Entry price around 2050.

Best regards.


Comments
mrvopni
what do you think now that it broke out of the channel?
FullTimeTrader
I use elliot waves as confirmation, right now staying aside
josepaiva
Are you still bearish? For God sake we all should... but all these news about job reports and all this manipulation makes me wonder for how long more they will keep this bubble inflated...
IvanLabrie
It's inching higher but the resistance is unreal.
Now jobs numbers are revised...really funny.
julia17
also, bearish gartley will be on 2049 on weekly. agree with short level, nice opportunity.
FullTimeTrader
Hello, thanks for comment, yes the gartley is also around that area, everything is pointing down. We could trade this short term or long term.Regards.
pathaniasourabh
Can we perfer this trade????
FullTimeTrader
Hello, i would better wail till next week, bulls feel still stronger this days. regards.
ElPatron.Y
Beautifull diamond top!
valiang
thank you for the great analysis
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