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YaKa
Feb 1, 2015 10:29 AM

SP500 - If crash, this is the possible path 

S&P 500 index of US listed sharesFXCM

Description


SP500 has been tired since July 14.

A few times it has faked us in strong weekly rallies but overall since the top marked in July14, the extension up has only been 5%.

We are all eyeing a rally to 2140 but it may not happen.

From Friday close, seems look weak but depending on the news this week and potentially helped by WTI, SP500 could potentially climb 4% back to 2080.

Given the posture on DAX, if a rally occurs this week, 2060/2080 would probably be a short of decent magnitude (7/10%). After this (if happens), SP500 could mark a large squeeze and then a potential crash.

I am not sure of anything... there will be legs that coincide with both the bull and bear scenarios and that shall be traded.
Comments
themarketzone
Like your idea. I've been monitoring these trend lines also. I think that a good confirmation will be if the week will also close below 2000
cooney_s


or it could be like this....
YaKa
agree with that path..
i hope it starts as you display... a bit tough. let's see.
cooney_s


gap to fill?! 200 period lsma
TreborDone
Yeah baby yeahhh ....
jangseohee
i am a bear too, but lets do it one step at a time
tradingview.com/v/bEkOySl5/
jangseohee
Sound like linear scale?
YaKa
no but the path does not mind about how we represent things... Good point though, let me plot in linear. Check next post.
jangseohee
you are right
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