QuantitativeExhaustion

US Equity Markets Artificial Lift

Short
FX:SPX500   S&P 500 Index
SKEW/VIX Indicator - OIL Volatility OVX

SKEW/VIX Index compare, is a new indicator that I built here on TradingView (you can read details how it was constructed in the related link below). When combining SKEW with VIX, we can see significant market tops/bottoms and displacement/divergence. As you can see in the chart, S&P has been in a tight upward channel since October, 2011. SKEW/VIX and Oil also marked a significant low in October, 2011. SKEW/VIX remained in upward trend from the low, and set many more highs until June 30 2014. It was in June, where Oil started it's panic selling, and eventually breaking the support stronghold held since the October 2011 low. From June 30, 2014 SKEW/VIX peak until now, both oil volatility index OVX and S&P volatility index VIX have risen significantly. With SKEW/VIX trending down toward a lower sub 5 level, I would call our S&P run since June 30th, an artificial lift. Eventually we will see a major correction.


VIX has been quietly trending upward. On this chart notice the higher lows.



Oil Volatility OVX has also increased volatility in the S&P and follows VIX closely.



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