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elp
Mar 21, 2015 10:07 AM

SPX 2150/55? 

S&P 500 index of US listed sharesFXCM

Description

Looking left of the chart, selling at the top of the channel, buying center channel has been a good RR trade. If price trades down to the bottom of the channel it's been a great RR long. Why try to reinvent the wheel? Looking to long next week into 2155/60 where I will flip to shorts. Will keep this trade plan until it stops working.
Comments
YaKa
Very Clean Chart.

Going 150 again for a short again would be perfect.

I am not sure if this kind of perfection will be provided again.

2040 is the key level now: Long as long as above.

Other strategy: short a bit here and add if 2150... that shall make money at some point in the higher time frame.
elp
True, 150 would be an early x-mass present. The upper trendline was pierced, price closed right at it. Not being able to clearly take it out would get me looking for shorts.
elp
Looking at the COT report for the ES, specs are heavily long and commercial are very short. The last 3 times the ES COT report had a similar posture, the ES experienced a correction. The more price keeps ripping into highs where retail gets more long with commercail getting even more short, would give me more confidence a correction of 10% or more is nearing. However, I could be 100% wrong. link to cot chart - screencast.com/t/fiYACXOc
jangseohee
elp
Possible. yet I think the top channel which currently is in confluence with the 2150s could get kissed. Here is a fib from all time lows to year 2000 highs, the -0.382 is at 2145, which is in real close to the 2150s Although the -0.618 is up at 2510 Who knows if price will make it up there???
jangseohee
around there, plus minus :-)
elp
If history repeats? Setup that lead to Sept/Oct 2014 highs/sell off.
If history repeats off the October lows????
elp
S&P500 Real Price - Current highs on a monthly close could be contained by the upper trendline on chart. Notes on chart.
elp
SPX priced in euros, broke it's year 2000 highs in January of this year. Could this be a breakout and backtest? Notes on chart.
elp
Cycle chart for the SPX. Moday is a fib cycle day while Friday is a fib level in time. Don't know direction but believe both days could be an inflection point.
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