SPY500, critical level. Break out or not? win or lose?

FX:SPX500   S&P 500 Index
140 2 2
SPX500             is trying to break out 1947.

This is the second time it tries to break out and stand above 1947. If it can not break out the box, it will go to seek a support level around 1875 or 1825.
and break out 1947 > 60%.
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