First time 3 daily bars open and close below 20EMA=EMA gap = A final minor leg up to testing 'BX'
The 'BOL' is marked by a , largely an on 1H timeframe.
Alternatively, a move down to April7 Low of 2033 would complete the story of a perfect prior to the rally to testing 'BX'
1H ENDING DIAGONAL
UTL=UpTrendline = A line from the Lowest Low, upward and to the highest minor low point preceding the Highest High so that the line does not pass through prices in between
these two points.
DTL=DownTrendline = A line from the highest high point downward to the lowest minor high point preceding the lowest low so that the line does not pass through prices in between these two high points.
SX/BX =Sell Climax/Buy Climax
BOL=Breakout limit (Determined when price seize to make a new high/low in 5 bars since the last high/low following the initial rally/selloff after TL BO)
LH MTR = Lower High Major Trend Reversal = Leg up following the 'BOL' gets close to 'BX'
HH MTR=Higher High Major Trend Reversal = Leg up following the 'BOL' exceeds 'BX'
LLMTR = Lower Low Major Trend Reversal = Leg down following the 'BOL' exceeds 'SX'
HL MTR= Higher Low Major Trend Reversal =Legdown following the 'BOL' only gets close to 'SX'
TR = Trading Range (Tradable legs implied)
1. Trend trading until the weight of evidence tells of the absence of the trend.
2. And to trade the potential legs within the trading range, when price finally breaks the , and enters into a tradable trading range, until there's a trading range breakout- continuation or reversal.
from my view, we could well go into the 5th wave (4 (or already 5) since Feb14th) from here on. given the bad macro news (eg pmis sink a on a global scale, sinking corporate earnings) of the last weeks the inherent strength of the market seems remarkable, that is a good base for further performance. however, a dovish fed seems helpful. 5th wave is good for a 140 pts move.
this is for balanced investors who need liquid instruments and with a 3mths timeline (till after brexit referendum)
buy duration for the case equities fail.
keep the duration at about 10 via tya / wna overlay,
be long 20% usd/jpy (like shown below) via forwards overlay not options market is far too long JPY, next BoJ move is only delayed not canceled they are increasingly forced to buy,
be long us high yield via etf
prefer small to midcap equity indices to go long equity, eg russell or mdax