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the_sunship
Aug 17, 2023 7:42 PM

SPX update - watch for a weak bounce 

US SPX 500OANDA

Description

I think the downtrend is done for a while regardless of how this closes today. The rsi needs to reset and a weak bounce for a few weeks would make sense. 4450 area would be an ideal bounce target, but the RSI will tell us when it's time to short again.

Good luck!

Comment

Target area reached (18 ma weekly) overnight. If they can't rally here, then the 18ma will become resistance on the way back up when it happens.

Comment

ok so it bounced but it's still in this downward channel. Needs to break out of that.

Comment

IWM outperforming. Even if there is one more low I think the bounce comes next week. Similar head and shoulders pattern forming here.

Comment

channel test again, nothing has broken out yet. Hard to say how Monday is going to look.

Comment

still no break at close
Comments
mykohph
Interesting enough I think qqq hit its neckline in after hours. I wonder how that’ll affect the market as a whole 🤷🏻‍♂️

Might bounce tomorrow.
the_sunship
@mykohph, i think so, the move down into the close looked liked a bear trap, a little lower overnight perhaps but tomorrow should be a relief bounce. we'll see soon enough
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