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quicksilver0311
Apr 16, 2020 9:15 PM

SPY trend April 17 Short

SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUSTArca

Description

Doji on April 14, making top of crown (trend reversal). If tomorrow is not hugely green, we may have reached the top of bull trap and follow the crown curve to 264 and eventually to 246.

Keep in mind there is always the Fed and trump tweets to work against TA but all signs point to reversal.

Testing ichimoku cloud resistance April 15,16 as well. Tested 0.5 fib multiple times - unable to break through cleanly.

Comment

Seems like futures are bigly green. We may see a clean break of the 0.5 fib tomorrow and if that happens, there is more upside and test of 0.618 fib at 292. Let's see what tomorrow brings.
Comments
hindraftv
seems like its at 290.. i was hoping to test around 250 as well
quicksilver0311
@hindraftv Yeah I think we test 0.618 fib tomorrow - trading range 285 - 293
elvis0288
Why do you think we make this huge jump?
quicksilver0311
@elvis0288 There’s news of successful drug testing against coronavirus from Gilead biosciences.
jryda
@quicksilver0311, 192k 280c expire tomorrow, that's why..
quicksilver0311
@jryda, that as well. Max pain for options expiring tomorrow is 275 though so the move is counter-intuitive if you believe in max pain theory. Also, all my options are going to get IV crushed tomorrow as well lol...
jryda
@quicksilver0311, max pain maybe in very low IV situation but not now
quicksilver0311
@jryda, By eod IV will be crushed as MMs cover. You can guarantee that.
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