vlad.adrian
Long

American Market - Possible correction to the selloff

BATS:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF
323 2 2
Well, I don't think there are too many people bullish on the stock market , or at least that's what I can see on various sites. We had a strong selloff last week, a selloff that now looks like it was predictable.

I hear people saying that the year is predicted by January. We had a very bad January, so according to this theory the bulltrend is over. I heard another theory about how Hollywood predicted market crashes.
1. The wolf of wall street 1929 - before the big depression
2. Wall street 1987             - before the October crash
3. Boiler room 2000 - before the dotcom bubble burst
4. Wolf of wall street 2014 - QE/tapper crash??

Now, we have reached a very important support zone, and it looks like the selloff stoped. Yesterday, it looks like a spinning top, but on my platform where I have the S&P             index it is a long day, so I wouldn't pay so much attention to the candles.

What I like is the MACD , which has been drawing a hidden divergence, which is bullish . On the H4 S&P             index chart, the histogram confirmes it with a bullish divergence which looks great, you can see a similar one at the top, before the market sold off. The gap up today increases the bullsh bias. This is the chart of the previous divergences that worked well
Us market - time for a correction
so according to the saying 'history repeats itself', we should head higher. Nothing is sure!

It remains to be seen how much we can go up, by this I mean that I still don't know if a downtrend started, or this was just a correction in the uptrend. Weekly says downtrend started, actually posted an ideea last week
The Dow - Divergence analysis. What
, but daily says it is just a correction to the uptrend. I will watch for HH - LH patterns. Maybe we will get a H&S, who knows... I don't like saying this and this and that will happen because I simply don't know.

Fundamentally, we have another 10 billion tapper by the FED, but Joe Hilsenrath announced this through an article 2 weeks ago, so it isnt a surprise. Maybe it is just a sign that the economy actually works and we can have another move up in the stock market .

I'm not going to trade this ideea, because I allready have longs initiated on AXP             , CSCO             and Delta, so this is a confirmation to me to keep the longs.
Sonic_scheme
2 years ago
Crazy how that works out.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BeCFAnbCcAAGYXk.jpg:large
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vlad.adrian PRO Sonic_scheme
2 years ago
:)) yes that is a great picture, except for the movie wall street money never sleeps. Even if it was filmed in 2009, the market crashed in october 2008, and the movie is about that specific crash! Other than that, great picture which captures exactly what happened!
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