quantguy
Short

Bearish Head and Shoulders forming on SPY

AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF
A combination of lukewarm earnings for Q1 and talks of an impending Federal Reserve interest rate hike seem to be slowing down the bullish recovery we've seen in the S&P             the past several weeks.

On the technical side, notice the failure to attain a new high. In fact SPY             has consistently been unable to break new highs going back to May 2015, when the bear market truly began. Further, note the bearish head and shoulders pattern forming, Heikin Ashi candles with longer wicks to the downside, and somewhat strong resistance from above via the Ichi Moku Cloud.

Recommendations for a short trade: wait for the price to decisively break the neckline with a strong bar. The next fibonacci level serves as a decent profit target at about $200. Note that there is a relative vacuum between the hypothesized entry point and this value, aside from one level of support indicated by the dashed red line. For a stop loss, consider the apex of the right shoulder.
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