SPY: Long term view

This is an updated forecast chart for $SPY. The weekly chart has more nuances that might help predict the intermediate term turns and corrections, but overall, this is the path that is possible according to the long term charts. I'm long but not buying the market directly, in general, instead I focus on stock picking to try and outperform. Sentiment has been negative all the way up, it's interesting how people's perception is affected by recent events, that shocked them -the 2007 financial crisis-, and many have missed the whole rally since 2009, or lost their shirt hedging or trying to short, buying volatility , etc.

Best of luck,

Ivan Labrie.
Comment: The chart implies a period of sideways action for roughly 20 months starting in March. I bought $SPY today, I'll try to buy the bottom of the range each time, and short at the tops to increase my position for longer term upside after it eventually trends again.
i also like picked stocks over the general market ETF s
+1 Reply
@G13Man, the efficient market hypothesis is bs, and indexing is a terrible disease of our times...no point paying the fees to own a mix match of dissimilar stocks...You can, certainly beat the broad market contrary to what these scholars think. Information is never available to all market participants at the same time, so the premise is flawed.
Hi Ivan, hope all is well. Interesting to note the uptrend since 2009, quite the trend!
I was wondering your thoughts on the DJI.. Similar view??
IvanLabrie PRO RJHumphries
@RJHumphries, yes, very similar.
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