JLJ002500

SPY LT outlook rocky, but ST bump could offer sell opportunities

AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF
9 months ago
I'm limited on time, but I believe the chart will paints a clear picture.

The strong (key) support continues to hold. Just had a recent double bottom. A close above 193.5 - 194.6 indicates a potential move higher and future selling opportunities. My holding period for SPY             trades (options) is typically 30 - 90 days. Because of that I am looking for selling opportunities. See the zones on the chart.

1D Chart: Significant bullish divergence on RSI
snapshot
RSI nearly equivalent, but the price is $14.47 (~7.5%) lower.

There are multiple short term bullish signals and I am hoping that they will play out. If they do, I'll open additional short positions.

My expectations for SPY             is that it will be rocky (rangy) for an extended time. At this time, I am much more comfortable playing the short side than I am the long. Trading techniques that need precise timing are difficult in this type of market (when the emotions are high). In this type of market where there isn't a clear trend but there are strong support/resistance, I prefer to wait until close to a key support & resistance and SELL option spreads that are selling at a premium. It doesn't require precision on the move's direction, magnitude or timing.

9 months ago
Comment: Updated analysis:

Alternative Possible Scenario From Previous Analysis
9 months ago
Comment:
snapshot


Close above resistance (now support). While SPY seems void of momentum at the moment, closing above previous resistance zone supports continuing to "sell zone".
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