The gap open higher today filled a gap from the COVID crash earlier this year. The minimum waves can be counted in place to consider this retracement higher as terminated.
With such a count in hand, don't rush out to short. Let the market confirm to you that a top may be in. Wait for lower levels to break. If today's gap fills (tan box), it indicates a swing top is in. The question is whether that swing high is minor or major. Keep an eye on the upward sloping trend line too.
Anticipating a retest of the lows if/when this breaks down.
I have been looking for a failed thrust to the upside, in a perfect world a long wick of a daily candle..for the DOW I am showing 61.8% at 25,400 reange
JWagnerFXTrader
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@Currencytrader, yes, DOW is nearing the end of its shorter term cycle. It could drift up to 27k and still be within the larger bearish cycle.