CosmicDust

SPY/TLT update - 10/01/2014

SPY/TLT  
SPY/TLT  
526 9 7
Looks more and more like 2008 and 2011. This Thursday and Friday are critical as I will learn if TLT             is able to break out, and thus either validate or invalidate (at least defer it) this case.

A further study reveals that during 2008 and 2011 TLT             spikes, 10 year rate drops about 44%. If true this time, it should drop to 1.44%, coincident with 2012 all time low. It will be fun to watch if this can materialize.
What's different From 2008, 2011 and now?
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CosmicDust QuantitativeExhaustion
2 years ago
Never know for sure. Trying my best to read what the chart has to tell...
+1 Reply
QuantitativeExhaustion PRO CosmicDust
2 years ago
I suppose TLT would rise faster than SPY at this stage in market
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azn_trader
2 years ago
I believe TLT could break 117 this month for sure. It could be tomorrow or Friday.
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CosmicDust azn_trader
2 years ago
Quite possibly. But will have to let market move first and then follow...
+2 Reply
One thought. Previous 18 months has not seen VIX rise with market rising.
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snapshot


here some possible resistances
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snapshot


Here is the inverse look
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i disagree completely with you anaylisis
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