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acrossthespread
Mar 29, 2020 7:35 AM

Coronavirus Regional Long/Short  Short

SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUSTArca

Description

Japan (EWJ) outperforms as Coronavirus cases are low (due to low testing), but country now on the verge of a massive virus outbreak, in line w/ EU & US.
Italy (EWI) lags DM, seen as new epicenter of Coronavirus. Country on lockdown, virus priced in (relative to Japan).

Italy also has sov debt & banking crisis overhang- but Japan also has massive sov debt & banking crisis, just not as widely publicized.

Banking/debt crisis aside, strictly from coming Coronavirus data reaction, RELATIVE pair trade:
Short EWJ (Japan) / Long EWI (Italy)


ETFs are FX hedged to mitigate some of USD vol interference.
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