EUR/CAD, EUR/GBP and EUR/NZD on watch for me today.
Good morning guys and girls,
I hope you're doing well.
I placed a short trade on SUGAR/USD yesterday. It met all of the criteria which has made it possible for me to trade professionally, but once again the liquidity just hasn't come into the market in my forecasted direction. On the lower time frames this trade no longer looks great from a structural perspective in my opinion and in my experience when this happens it almost always means that a trade that I'm in will result in another loss. However as professionals it's important that we're not as zoomed in as most people are on TradingView and we observe the bigger picture and on the daily chart yesterday's trading did leave SUGAR/USD with a confirmed evening star formation at structure, although admittedly still with a little bit of wick to the downside. So we'll see how this one plays out.
As I keep saying, trading isn't about making money every single time you place a trade, if it was then none of us would be professional traders. It's about having an edge over the market and letting that edge play out over a large enough sample size of trades, something which the majority of people who trade aren't patient or probabilistically minded enough to do.
Where today is concerned it's all about the Euro for me today and pasted below is my Tuesday forecast for your viewing...
Have a great day!
EUR/CAD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour rejection from it.
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and it does so impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/GBP:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour rejection from it.
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline and it does so impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
I hope you're doing well.
I placed a short trade on SUGAR/USD yesterday. It met all of the criteria which has made it possible for me to trade professionally, but once again the liquidity just hasn't come into the market in my forecasted direction. On the lower time frames this trade no longer looks great from a structural perspective in my opinion and in my experience when this happens it almost always means that a trade that I'm in will result in another loss. However as professionals it's important that we're not as zoomed in as most people are on TradingView and we observe the bigger picture and on the daily chart yesterday's trading did leave SUGAR/USD with a confirmed evening star formation at structure, although admittedly still with a little bit of wick to the downside. So we'll see how this one plays out.
As I keep saying, trading isn't about making money every single time you place a trade, if it was then none of us would be professional traders. It's about having an edge over the market and letting that edge play out over a large enough sample size of trades, something which the majority of people who trade aren't patient or probabilistically minded enough to do.
Where today is concerned it's all about the Euro for me today and pasted below is my Tuesday forecast for your viewing...
Have a great day!
EUR/CAD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour rejection from it.
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and it does so impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/GBP:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour rejection from it.
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline and it does so impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.