Good morning one and all.
I hope you're well.
So yesterday I took another loss, this time on SUGAR/USD which has now rocketed to the upside and although I'm now consistent enough to be able to trading professionally based on the very large sample size of fully documented and journalled trades that I have this is currently my worst run of form from a results perspective since I started doing so. This doesn't worry me in the slightest because of this edge that I have over the market which I know will continue to consistently play out over a subsequent large enough sample size of trades, because it's been tried and tested over several decades worth of data. But since I'm running my trading career like a business I'm always keen to make tweaks and improvements where I can.
So yesterday I did a lot of assessing and re-evaluating and with trading being a predominantly psychological affair I've made several tweaks and improvements to my processes which are designed to improve my psychology moving forward. That said I did identify one key area of my trading from a technical perspective which needed improvement and I've now made an amendment to this which based on the fully documented and journalled trades that I've placed should see my trading results improve dramatically over a large enough sample size of trades.
The latter resulted in me getting long on EUR/GBP last night just before I went to bed with price currently floating around my entry point as I type, but I wouldn't be surprised if some momentum kicks in to the upside when the London Session opens this morning.
Below is the forecast which I created last night and of course my EUR/GBP forecast gave me the entry that I was looking for, so I'll now only be watching this today for monitoring purposes and as always I will not be looking to get long on EUR/NZD until my 1% risk exposure to EUR/GBP has been completely removed from the table.
EUR/GBP:
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower descending trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll once again be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll again be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
I hope you're well.
So yesterday I took another loss, this time on SUGAR/USD which has now rocketed to the upside and although I'm now consistent enough to be able to trading professionally based on the very large sample size of fully documented and journalled trades that I have this is currently my worst run of form from a results perspective since I started doing so. This doesn't worry me in the slightest because of this edge that I have over the market which I know will continue to consistently play out over a subsequent large enough sample size of trades, because it's been tried and tested over several decades worth of data. But since I'm running my trading career like a business I'm always keen to make tweaks and improvements where I can.
So yesterday I did a lot of assessing and re-evaluating and with trading being a predominantly psychological affair I've made several tweaks and improvements to my processes which are designed to improve my psychology moving forward. That said I did identify one key area of my trading from a technical perspective which needed improvement and I've now made an amendment to this which based on the fully documented and journalled trades that I've placed should see my trading results improve dramatically over a large enough sample size of trades.
The latter resulted in me getting long on EUR/GBP last night just before I went to bed with price currently floating around my entry point as I type, but I wouldn't be surprised if some momentum kicks in to the upside when the London Session opens this morning.
Below is the forecast which I created last night and of course my EUR/GBP forecast gave me the entry that I was looking for, so I'll now only be watching this today for monitoring purposes and as always I will not be looking to get long on EUR/NZD until my 1% risk exposure to EUR/GBP has been completely removed from the table.
EUR/GBP:
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower descending trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll once again be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll again be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.