It has been 4 months since I last posted an update and it completed 2 more trades in that window, one a 21% win and the next a 47% win.
This is so simple that I have a very hard time trading it. Really.
Yet it wins.
In the coming days I am going to look at this as a signal for doing the opposite trade in UVXY and seeing what results.
These inflection points (where the VIX changes sustained direction) are hard to forecast and depend solely on when the S&P trend changes. For those cues I look for RSI divergences and volume changes on SPY. So there's your answer, which isn't really a definitive answer.
Have you noticed this? If so, is there a way to remedy the problem?
Thanks for sharing.