It has been 4 months since I last posted an update and it completed 2 more trades in that window, one a 21% win and the next a 47% win.
This is so simple that I have a very hard time trading it. Really.
Yet it wins.
In the coming days I am going to look at this as a signal for doing the opposite trade in UVXY and seeing what results.
Have you noticed this? If so, is there a way to remedy the problem?
Thanks for sharing.
These inflection points (where the VIX changes sustained direction) are hard to forecast and depend solely on when the S&P trend changes. For those cues I look for RSI divergences and volume changes on SPY. So there's your answer, which isn't really a definitive answer.