MERCmethod

Treasuries have limited upside (TLT)

AMEX:TBT   PROSHARES TRUST
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Been in TBT for a week now. Just met you today, and I agree with you. That is bad news for you, be careful!
+1 Reply
MERCmethod BrianReeves
@BrianReeves, Im confused, which is bad news? Thanks Brian
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BrianReeves MERCmethod
@MERCmethod, The bond markets are so prone to interference from Trump, Forex, weather, disease and politics, I doubt that anyone can suss them out, least of all myself. But I'd like to subscribe, and see your CV.
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Nice chartin work. Now I subscribed to you. Thanks
+1 Reply
You should do a podcast on the cannabis industry. US Industry's economic impact could hit $130 billion by 2024 from a recent article. Not sure how accurate this is. And of course, there's Canada and Europe markets. Yet, Canopy is still being shorted heavily after a year and a half draw down. What a juggernaut and fascinating industry. Love your work.

P.S. Canopy's Houseplant Grapefruit and Deep Space are incredible. I get it delivered to my front door within 3 days because it's still not readily available in stores and the government has their head up their ass with all the restrictions. We need the U.S. market real bad.
What a time we are in.
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Would you not trade TMV rather than TBT? Also IV in TLT options is pretty cheap...you could buy some longer dated OTM puts. Perhaps fund with some call spreads.
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Not sure where you are getting that wave '1' down on TLT. I count a 3 wave zigzag with almost 1:1 ratio on A:C. Also, what's the premise for an inverted relationship between 20yr ETF and 30yr yields? TBH for TLT I see hidden RSI divergence between the march drop and the june dip to push it higher
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