Treasuries have limited upside (TLT)

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Been in TBT for a week now. Just met you today, and I agree with you. That is bad news for you, be careful!
+1 Reply
MERCmethod BrianReeves
@BrianReeves, Im confused, which is bad news? Thanks Brian
BrianReeves MERCmethod
@MERCmethod, The bond markets are so prone to interference from Trump, Forex, weather, disease and politics, I doubt that anyone can suss them out, least of all myself. But I'd like to subscribe, and see your CV.
Nice chartin work. Now I subscribed to you. Thanks
+1 Reply
You should do a podcast on the cannabis industry. US Industry's economic impact could hit $130 billion by 2024 from a recent article. Not sure how accurate this is. And of course, there's Canada and Europe markets. Yet, Canopy is still being shorted heavily after a year and a half draw down. What a juggernaut and fascinating industry. Love your work.

P.S. Canopy's Houseplant Grapefruit and Deep Space are incredible. I get it delivered to my front door within 3 days because it's still not readily available in stores and the government has their head up their ass with all the restrictions. We need the U.S. market real bad.
What a time we are in.
Would you not trade TMV rather than TBT? Also IV in TLT options is pretty could buy some longer dated OTM puts. Perhaps fund with some call spreads.
Not sure where you are getting that wave '1' down on TLT. I count a 3 wave zigzag with almost 1:1 ratio on A:C. Also, what's the premise for an inverted relationship between 20yr ETF and 30yr yields? TBH for TLT I see hidden RSI divergence between the march drop and the june dip to push it higher
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