Fx-AlphaStrats

Teva Pharmaceutical industries. up or down?

Long
NYSE:TEVA   Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited
This is my first wave chart, so be gentle. :)

i have 2 scenario. One is that wave 5 have ended and we are ready to a correctional wave of A,B,C.
The other is that they will present bad revenue. And the price will continue the down trend, and stop at the support line at 6,49
where the 5th wave could end and start a correction of A,B,C.

Fundamental:

Teva have a great product portfolio, but have lost 64.46% decline year to date. and a 68.83% decline from 30/10/2016 to 30/10/2017
The decline have something to do with there stock pilling on debt that run along the loss in product sales.
The U.S. generics industry is facing significant competitive and pricing pressure, which have been affecting the company’s generic revenues. An increase in FDA generic drug approvals and ongoing customer consolidation are resulting in additional competitive pressure in the industry. earlier this month, in a major blow to Teva, Mylan MYL launched its generic version of the 40 mg formulation, much earlier than expected. Mylan also launched a second generic version of Copaxone 20 mg formulation (once-daily).
Though these generic launches will not hurt Teva’s third-quarter sales and profits, Teva estimates that it will have a negative impact of at least 25 cents per share on fourth-quarter earnings.

Teva Pharmaceutical industries have a P/E Ratio (TTM)=-2,22
And a EPS(TTM)=-6,11

This means that the company is losing money.
besides that, investors now pay 2,22 Dollars less pr earned dollar

They still have a 1,20(8,07%) Forward Dividend and Yield
this means that the company is expecting a low grow rate because of the high yield
(if the Yield is low, a company is expecting high growth expectations and are more likely to give investors reward through out a rise in the stock price)

The Beta is low at 0,72. a Beta below 1 is a less volatile stock.

My target will be at 36.49$
where my stops loss will be at 6,18$

general 1y target estimate from other investors is at 20,02$


Profile:

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes generic medicines and a portfolio of specialty medicines worldwide. It operates through two segments, Generic Medicines and Specialty Medicines. The Generic Medicines segment offers sterile products, hormones, narcotics, high-potency drugs, and cytotoxic substances in various dosage forms, including tablets, capsules, injectables, inhalants, liquids, ointments, and creams. This segment also develops, manufactures, and sells active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Specialty Medicines segment provides branded specialty medicines for use in central nervous system and respiratory indications, as well as the women’s health, oncology, and other specialty businesses. Its products in the central nervous system area comprise Copaxone for multiple sclerosis; Azilect for the treatment of Parkinson’s disease; and Nuvigil for the treatment of excessive sleepiness associated with narcolepsy and certain other disorders. This segment’s products in the respiratory market include ProAir, ProAir Respiclick, QVAR, Duoresp Spiromax, Qnasl, Braltus, Cinqair/Cinqaero, and Aerivio Spiromax for the treatment of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, as well as Treanda/Bendeka, Granix, Trisenox, Lonquex, and Tevagrastim/Ratiograstim products in the oncology market. This segment also offers a portfolio of products in the women’s health category, which includes ParaGard, Plan B One-Step, and OTC/Rx, as well as other products. The company has collaboration arrangements with Attenukine, Procter & Gamble Company, and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(source: finance.yahoo.com/quote/TEVA?p=TEVA)

Good luck :)
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