I still cannot confirm that the triangle in wave 4 has ended. Triangles take time to develop, but once they are over, wave 5 almost always takes less than 0.618 of the duration of wave 4 to compete.
If W4 ended today, then the crash in Treasuries should end before 23 Aug 2023: by that time we will see 10Y at 10%.
10Y year yield will be stuck at around 3.5 for the next few months with inflationary and recessionary forces offsetting. How/Why would the 10Y yield jump to 10% in the next four months? Your bearish TSLA structure looks like it will be exactly correct. This TLT call with 10Y yield 10% by Aug 2023 seems not as good.