YaKa

TLT - Bull to 155 - Dark Days Ahead?

AMEX:TLT   ISHARES 20+ YEAR TREASURY BOND E
138 3 3

I think we have the story on rates wrong...

A bit like we had the CHF currency story wrong.

Rates may be about to decrease heavy and rates hike may have to be delayed.
It's hard to imagine a rate hike with TLT flying through the roof.
Reply
YaKa PRO QuantitativeExhaustion
or they increase rates but the curve does not steepen... as market estimates that growth will be slowed then...
anyway: one way or another it seems a contrarian trade is going on: LT rates are coming off.
+1 Reply
YaKa PRO QuantitativeExhaustion
maybe we will get negative steepness... we are going through non standard scenarios since a few years..
negative rates...
CHF increasing 30% in a few minutes...
everything is possible these days - non text book scenarios
+1 Reply
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