YaKa

TLT - Bull to 155 - Dark Days Ahead?

AMEX:TLT   ISHARES 20+ YEAR TREASURY BOND E
138 3 3

I think we have the story on rates wrong...

A bit like we had the CHF currency story wrong.

Rates may be about to decrease heavy and rates hike may have to be delayed.
It's hard to imagine a rate hike with TLT flying through the roof.
Reply
YaKa PRO QuantitativeExhaustion
2 years ago
or they increase rates but the curve does not steepen... as market estimates that growth will be slowed then...
anyway: one way or another it seems a contrarian trade is going on: LT rates are coming off.
+1 Reply
YaKa PRO QuantitativeExhaustion
2 years ago
maybe we will get negative steepness... we are going through non standard scenarios since a few years..
negative rates...
CHF increasing 30% in a few minutes...
everything is possible these days - non text book scenarios
+1 Reply
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