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AndyM
May 8, 2023 1:38 PM

10Y at 10% by Aug-Sept '23 Long

CBOE 10 YR TREASURY NOTE YIELDTVC

Description

I am not kidding at all about 10Y at 10%.
Three months from now 10Y will get there in an extended wave 5, and short term yields will spike to 15-20%.
Comments
Invisibie
Andy, do you still anticipate the front end rapidly moving higher? Did anything change this thesis for you? Thanks
AndyM
@Invisibie, of course it will! Everything I wrote on that is valid, and all targets for FX, Treasuries and Stocks are intact. November will be the month, but it won't stop there. We'll hit 10% on 10Y still this year, but will continue to grind higher in early '24. Eventually we'll stop at 12-13% and will trend-change there.
Invisibie
Can you explain why front end would spike like that?
AndyM
@Invisibie, people seek protection at the short end, not yield. There will be more fear of losses, so - more volatility.
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