Among most indexes across the globe I have spotted a variation of both wyckoff distribution schemes on the total cryptocap. As I said in my previous analysis; the markets have run hot and in no way market makers, early investors and whales would consider a scenario of WAGMI.
Market makers in crypto have learned a tough lesson during 2018 when bear markets could run hot - even for them. Another 3 years of bots, algorithms and machine learning have made them the perfect liquidity (or better said: liquidation) hunters amongst any market in the globe. This is not only because of their "brilliance and analytics" but more so; because they have one of the few retail dominated markets. Every dip should either be bought or diamond handed and every pump even more so. In fact, it is the mentality of the counterpart that made market makers record profits during 2020 and 2021. The expectations nothing less than a record breaking year for more profit.
The machine learning machines that act as intelligent liquidity miners at the fraction of the cost of a Bitcoin mining farm printed new results; the slow bleed. The slow bleed has ever showed to be the best returning strategy to contain the crypto enthousiast. Downtrends come with a few phases:
Phase 1: flash corrections retracting "the floor" that upholds the price of a coin Phase 2: a quick absorption of liquidity through a cascade of liquidations and stops Phase 3: a fast vectorized return to a higher floor downplaying the actual floor by a huge wick Phase 5: the local uptrend creating new hope; "the bottom is in" Phase 6: the vectorized liquidity chop absorbing the liquidity up and down in the new zone Phase 7: the short squeeze; "WAGMI"
Rinse and repeat.
The downfall of the bull market itself are in fact the bulls themselves with overleveraged longs or calls, overplaying their hand without a hedge towards the opposite direction, the direction of the market maker.
IMPORTANT: this is not financial advice, trade or invest based on your own risk and research.
Comment
⋅
The lack of likes might shows the sentiment. We "hope" this is the bottom, we "hope" the stock markets don't correct, we "hope" for 100K Bitcoin - not because its realistic but because we WANT it. This shows that most of retail is still bullish and the majority of the market still has to capitulate. Just look at the S&P500 today, stop hunt rise and now back again where we started the day; in bear territory. The trend is bearish and no influencer or some super small country is going to change that. The only hope is for the bulls is the S&P500 to pump. And yes, I would do a lot better with a pump myself aswell, return wise but I dont hope for anything, I just look at all the data!
Comment
⋅
Theres only one moving average on this chart and exactly where TOTAL found support, good old 400EMA. Lets see what Europe and the USA have in mind for us today…
dont take the lack of feedback as a lack of interest. We be here lurking most times. Thanks for sharing your work with us. Really really interesting approach. Kudos, king
cryptobullethbtcxlm
⋅
@Skorge1984, thank you, much appreciated that Im not talking / sharing analyses with just myself here haha
graphbullS
⋅
Great!
pureCheetah48814
⋅
The 7 steps is really good observation you note , this market is controlled by a few who seek to liquidate as much as possible
BlakeWissemann
⋅
I’m impressed. Even I fell for hopium, many times before, but your right on many other levels anyway. I agree, any relief pump will be just that. 50%… 40 to go. Interestingly, I’ve noticed, technical analysis is actually “purchasing psychology,” it’s no different from fundamentals, all the information is there in the data. However knowing either benefits the decision. I like you’re work, keep it up.
no you're wrong, BTC is going to 1 million by the end of business tomorrow, a YouTube fortune teller told me this.. silly boomers with your silly charts and data