Strongly agree. Let's take a quick glance at some USD-dominated markets:
US stonks market cap = ~50 T Derivatives outdated lowball estimate = ~400 T Gold market cap = 12 T
Now for crypto.
Crypto TOTAL symbol = 1.85 T
You're telling me all of crypto is currently priced in at..
3.7% of the US stock market??? 0.046% of the derivatives market???? 15.4% of JUST gold?????
At this point, it's very easy to get emotional, go on rants, start pulling words out of a hat. But there's no need to even say much else. It doesn't even matter what the short or medium term fallout is. We all know what's coming. It's not a prediction. The die has been cast.
Barring some major accelerating event, I'm leaning more to your dotted purple side on this one. I can see the halving in 2028 being a catalyst for a push above 100T, or a runaway global frenzy in DeFi and Web3 being the "accelerating event."
So probably a year-plus "kink" in your growth curve between $20-40T before another ramp up.
AlanSantana
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@entropi, Thanks for all the great input in your comments.
Namaste.
introsphere
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Let's see (words from a data scientist):
Global GDP = lets round it to 100 T Global GDP growth per year = roughly 3.5% = 3.5 T Crypto Market Cap = lets round it to 1.5% of Global GDP = 1.5 T
In 2027 we can have roughly 150T Global GDP....
And crypto will be not more than 5% of it all in your bravest dreams.
So... I'm going to run some real algorithms soon and show you results, but even by this 1 minute calculation in my mind you can see that 200T market cap is pretty impossible by that year.
Conslusion: Learn how to run a business, how the numbers in business work. Or you'll never be able to predict the market with waves and lines, that actually mean very little.
You make an analyis BTC will go under 20k. And total up to 200T.
??? really? :D
stellasdaddy
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@LuckyTrader102, You're not reading the analysis properly. One is long term and the other is a possibility on the way up and down. You're letting your emotions cloud your perception - be careful, markets don't move in a straight line.
US stonks market cap = ~50 T
Derivatives outdated lowball estimate = ~400 T
Gold market cap = 12 T
Now for crypto.
Crypto TOTAL symbol = 1.85 T
You're telling me all of crypto is currently priced in at..
3.7% of the US stock market???
0.046% of the derivatives market????
15.4% of JUST gold?????
At this point, it's very easy to get emotional, go on rants, start pulling words out of a hat. But there's no need to even say much else. It doesn't even matter what the short or medium term fallout is. We all know what's coming. It's not a prediction. The die has been cast.
Namaste.