TRY/JPY 1H Chart: Lira pressured by strong resistance
The movement of TRY/JPY has been guided by several patterns the most important of which for near-term trading is the seven-week channel down. Its upper boundary was tested early in February when the pair reversed from the monthly PP at 29.33.
It is likely that the Lira continues depreciating against the Yen within the following trading sessions in line with the junior pattern (drawn with dashed lines). The pair could still push slightly higher in the short term; however, the combined resistance of the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs and the weekly S1 is expected to provide an unbreakable barrier somewhere in the 28.65/28.95 area. A possible downside potential in this scenario could be the bottom boundary of a one-year descending channel circa 27.70.
In case the aforementioned resistance cluster is breached, bulls should guide the Lira towards the weekly PP at 29.33.
It is likely that the Lira continues depreciating against the Yen within the following trading sessions in line with the junior pattern (drawn with dashed lines). The pair could still push slightly higher in the short term; however, the combined resistance of the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs and the weekly S1 is expected to provide an unbreakable barrier somewhere in the 28.65/28.95 area. A possible downside potential in this scenario could be the bottom boundary of a one-year descending channel circa 27.70.
In case the aforementioned resistance cluster is breached, bulls should guide the Lira towards the weekly PP at 29.33.